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Nissan caps buoyant earnings for Japanese auto giants
by Staff Writers
Tokyo (AFP) Feb 10, 2014


Japan faced with gloomy data ahead of tax hike
Tokyo (AFP) Feb 10, 2014 - Japan produced a gloomy batch of economic data Monday showing shoppers growing nervous and the trade deficit ballooning, as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe prepares to launch a controversial sales tax rise.

The government said consumer sentiment weakened in January, while the current account surplus -- the broadest measure of trade with the rest of the world -- hit a record low in 2013 as the cheap yen pushed up energy bills.

A policy blitz by Abe, which meshes government spending with central bank monetary easing, has driven the yen down and boosted stock prices, earning him acclaim for kickstarting the long-sluggish economy.

A recent tally of the Nikkei economic daily showed nearly 70 percent of listed Japanese companies are likely to post sales and profit growth in the current business year to March.

However, many firms have yet to embrace Abe's call to hike wages. A poll by Kyodo news agency last month showed nearly three-quarters of Japanese people are feeling no effect from the so-called Abenomics.

Worryingly for the premier, it also showed that only 17 percent of firms -- around a sixth -- are planning to hike wages, even as Japan begins to experience real inflation for the first time in several years.

Monday's data from the Cabinet Office showed the consumer sentiment index fell to 40.5 in January, the lowest level since 39.9 in December 2012. A reading below 50 indicates pessimism.

The subindex on views on livelihood fell to its lowest reading since June 2011 and that on willingness to buy durable goods dropped to the weakest since May 2011 -- suggesting the mood is as gloomy as the months soon after the earthquake-tsunami that wrecked the northeast coast and hammered the economy.

Separate data from the finance ministry showed Japan had a surplus of 3.31 trillion yen ($32 billion) on its current account in 2013, the weakest on comparable data stretching back to 1985.

The current account is the broadest measure of the country's trade with the rest of the world, including not only trade in goods but also services, tourism and returns on the country's foreign investment.

Government leaders last month said they were winning the war on stubborn deflation as consumer prices logged their their first rise for five years in 2013.

But the rise was largely driven by soaring import bills due to a cheap yen and the country's reliance on importing expensive fossil fuels since its nuclear plants were shuttered after the tsunami-sparked Fukushima crisis.

Japan's trade deficit more than doubled to 10.6 trillion yen in 2013 from the previous year as costlier imports of oil and gas overwhelmed export growth.

Abe has decided to follow through on a pledge by his predecessor to hike Japan's 5.0 percent sales tax to 8.0 percent in April.

The move is seen as a crucial first step towards bringing down an eye-watering national debt, but naysayers fear it will derail Japan's budding recovery.

Some economists say continuing trade deficits may be a sign that Abenomics is actually succeeding.

Unlike previous recoveries in Japan, his policy of much greater monetary easing and bringing inflation into the economy is aimed more at domestic consumption than pushing goods overseas.

"If Abenomics succeeds, domestic demand-led economic growth will be achieved, making current account deficits a more regular feature of the Japanese economy," predicted Koya Miyamae, economist with SMBC Nikko Securities.

Nissan said Monday its nine-month net profit jumped 18.4 percent, capping a buoyant earnings season for Japan's top three automakers thanks to a cheap yen and rising sales in North America and China.

Rival Toyota, the world's biggest automaker, last week forecast a record annual profit with nine-month earnings more than doubling to $15 billion, after Japan's number three Honda said its earnings surged almost 40 percent.

The trio have been big winners over the past year as a sharp drop in the yen inflated exporters' repatriated profits, further boosted by improved demand in key overseas markets.

Sales in China slumped in late 2012 and into last year as a Tokyo-Beijing diplomatic row sparked a consumer boycott of Japanese brands in the world's biggest vehicle market.

Relations remain tense, but Japanese manufacturers have reported sales are returning to pre-dispute levels.

Nissan was particularly vulnerable as it counts on China for about a quarter of its sales and has been fighting off rivals, including General Motors and Volkswagen, to return to its pre-boycott 7.7 percent market share.

In November the new executive in charge of Nissan's China business said the firm was struggling to catch up with rebounding demand, after a slow start in the first half of 2013.

The maker of the Altima sedan and luxury Infiniti brand has three plants in China with a local partner, and plans to open another factory this year.

On Monday Nissan said its net profit was 274.1 billion ($2.68 billion) in the April-December period, up 18.4 percent, as profit in just the third quarter soared 57 percent.

Global revenue of 7.27 trillion yen was up 19.7 percent from a year earlier as Nissan pointed to a recovery in China as well as robust demand in Japan and North America.

'Sluggish conditions' in Europe

However, sales of 3.67 million vehicles were up just 1.0 percent, as Nissan trailed its key Japanese rivals. Its Europe market struggled while Latin America and other parts of Asia turned down.

"Sales in Japan and North America helped offset emerging market volatility and sluggish conditions in Europe," said the company's chief executive Carlos Ghosn.

In November Nissan downgraded its fiscal full-year profit outlook to 355 billion yen from 420 billion yen as higher-than-expected costs tied to vehicle recalls weighed on its bottom line.

The firm has announced a management shake-up on the heels of a broad restructuring at Renault, which owns more than 40 percent of Nissan.

Ghosn has led an aggressive new product rollout plan, including resurrecting Nissan's budget Datsun brand to woo a new generation of cost-conscious buyers in emerging markets.

However, Nissan has fallen behind Toyota and Honda while its bid to tap emerging markets has yet to be declared a success.

Toyota's own developing-market focus was underscored Monday as it announced it will stop making cars in Australia, banging the final nail in the coffin of country's auto industry.

Despite the buoyant figures so far, an April sales tax rise in Japan and a possible slowdown in US and Asian markets could put the brakes on sales for the Japanese auto sector, said Takaki Nakanishi, analyst and chief executive at Nakanishi Research Institute in Tokyo.

"The Japanese auto industry has been on the upswing thanks to the weak yen and strong demand in the US and Asia, including in Japan," he said.

"But there are some negatives on the horizon. The sales tax hike in Japan will affect auto sales for sure, although I think the impact is likely to be limited. Also, the recent strong demand in Asia and America is likely to lose its momentum."

Gains from the weak yen will taper off, he added, while political unrest in Thailand, a major production base for Japanese automakers, could also dig into results.

Still, the upbeat results marked a firm recovery for Japanese automakers after the 2011 quake-tsunami disaster hammered production and disrupted their supply chains.

.


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